Summary for Policy-makers
2. Environmental change in security discourse
2.2. Current security policy strategies
2.3. WBGU's aims and use of terms
3. Known conflict impacts of environmental change
3.1. State of conflict research at the interface of environment and security
3.2. World map of past environmental conflicts
3.3. War and conflict research
4. Rising conflict risks due to state fragility and a changing world order
4.2. State fragility and the limits of governance
4.3. Unstable multipolarity: The political setting of global change
5. Impacts of climate change on the biosphere and human society
5.1. Changes in climatic parameters
5.2. Climate impacts upon human well-being and society
5.3. Non-linear effects and tipping points
6. Conflict constellations
6.2. Conflict constellation 'Climate-induced degradation of freshwater resources'
6.3. Conflict constellation: 'Climate-induced decline in food production'
6.4. Conflict constellation: 'Climate-induced increase in storm and flood disasters'
6.5. Conflict constellation: 'Environmentally induced migration'
7. Hotspots of climate change: Selected regions
7.1. Arctic and Subarctic
7.2. Southern Europe and North Africa
7.6. India, Pakistan and Bangladesh
7.8. Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico
8. Climate change us a driver of social destabilization and threat to international security
8.1. Climate-induced conflict constellations: Analysis and findings
8.2. International climate policy scenarios and their long-term implications
8.3. Climate change as a threat to international security
9. Research recommendations
9.1. Understanding the climate-security nexus - fundamentals
9.2. Policies to prevent and contain conflict
9.3. Conflict constellations and their prevention
10. Recommendations for action
10.1. WBGU's key findings
10.2. Scope for action Oil the part of the German government
10.3. window of opportunity for climate security: 2007-2020
10.4. Window missed - mitigation failed: Strategies in the event of destabilization and conflict
